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Alright, folks — let’s talk Bitcoin (BTC), the digital beast that either makes you a millionaire or eats your savings like it’s brunch. Everyone’s got a chart, a model, or a PhD friend who “called the top.” But what if none of them are screaming “SELL” just yet? What if we’re still warming up, and this beast’s not done dancing?
Let’s dive deep into the charts. No fluff. Just raw, juicy on-chain data, soaked in sarcasm and truth.
The AVIV Ratio Ain’t Screaming Yet
See that orange spaghetti all over the graph? That’s the AVIV Ratio, aka the “Are We F*cked Yet?” line. Historically, when it spikes over 3, Bitcoin tops are right around the damn corner. But in 2025? That line’s just stretching its legs like it’s Sunday morning yoga. No full freakout, no top.
Translation? We ain’t there yet. The market still has room to go nuts.
OTC Desks Be Like: “Gimme Your Coins”
Take a wild guess what happens when OTC desk balances go down? Smart money’s buying quietly, off the books, avoiding the pleb-infested exchanges. See that massive drop earlier this year? That wasn’t retail panic — that was accumulation.
The purple line’s been bleeding dry, while the price miraculously bounced back. Someone’s buying the fear, and it ain’t your cousin Chad who just discovered MetaMask.
Power Law Chart: Respect the Curve
Look, this one’s sexy. The Power Law Fit shows that even if Bitcoin’s drunk at the club, it still stumbles upward long-term. We’re currently hugging the mean, not blowing it like 2013, 2017, or 2021. That’s bullish, baby.
Price over model ratio? Just floating around 1x, far from overheated. In other words, Bitcoin still has room to rage without needing to hit the emergency brake.
30 Peak Indicators — 0 Screaming Sell
Now this one’s a gem. Coinglass dropped the mother of all dashboards: 30 bull market peak indicators, and not one — I repeat, not a single f*cking one — is flashing red.
- Puell Multiple? Meh.
- MVRV? Low.
- RSI? Yawn.
- Altcoin Season Index? Still in diapers.
When the herd screams “Top is in!”, but your indicators are silent? That’s not a trap — that’s a golden damn opportunity.
Conclusion: Don’t Let Twitter Bears Ruin Your Bitcoin Bags
Let’s wrap this up with some tough love. If you’re doomscrolling CT and panicking because “the vibe feels toppy” — slap yourself. The on-chain data doesn’t lie.
AVIV ain’t spiking. OTC desks are hoarding. Power Law is chill. Indicators? Flatline.
That doesn’t mean we go all-in like degenerates with leverage and vibes. But it does mean this market might just have more fuel in the tank — and maybe, just maybe, that $150K target isn’t a meme after all.
Now’s not the time to get scared. It’s time to sharpen your game, stack smart, and ignore the noise.
- Ethereum Is Cooking Again: Are You Gonna Ride or Cry? - June 30, 2025
- Bitcoin: Everyone’s Scared, But The Charts Are Screaming “It Ain’t Over!” - June 25, 2025
- The Centralized Trap: Is Web3 Quietly Turning Back Into Web2? - June 24, 2025
