Cryptheory: NFT, Play-to-Earn, Crypto News

24/7 crypto news, cryptocurrency meaning, guides, learning, #cryptohelpschildren

PlanB: “Stock-to-flow model is still intact”

2 min read

 

PlanB’s stock-to-flow model is well below plan. But the author still sees no reason to panic.

It’s getting tight: The benchmark for the validation of the Stock-to-Flow Model (S2F), arguably the hottest BTC price model on the market, is $ 100,000 by the end of the year. At the time of writing, BTC is trading at just over half that, or more precisely at $ 57,000. But the anonymous  analyst is not throwing the gun in the towel that quickly. Discussed in the podcast with Stephan Livera PlanB Weal and woe of the S2F. But what exactly is the S2F model?

“The stock-to-flow models are fundamental models. Unlike other price-driven price models, they are based on fundamental data – in this case the scarcity, ”the analyst told Stephan Livera.

His floor model is also interesting. PlanB had thus often correctly predicted the “worst-case scenarios” in the growth of the BTC exchange rate – but in November it was spectacularly wrong. Instead of $ 98.0000, the BTC price only closed below $ 60,000.

Another point of contention in terms of stock-to-flow is the efficiency market hypothesis. Can the model become a self-fulfilling prophecy if enough traders act on it? Probably not, according to PlanB. “The market momentum is much more crucial. If the price goes down, investors sell, if it goes up, they buy. Even with 1.5 million followers, I have no influence on that. “

S2F (still) intact

Higher prices, in turn, lead to increased volatility – and at some point bring the price down again. A supercycle theory, i.e. the idea that BTC only strives upwards from a certain price level, cannot be made with PlanB:

“As soon as we hit the $ 100,000, Fomo will kick in. If the price then goes through the roof, people will eventually sell, that overheats the market. “

In other words: Supercycle theory is a nice idea, “but greed and fear are still opposed to it,” says the anonymous course analyst.

But is the model still correct despite the meager price performance? Yes and no. PlanB had said at the beginning of the year that the model would be invalid if BTC did not reach six digits by the end of the year. But in the podcast with Stephan Livera, the trader rows back.

The digital gold would only have to be worth over USD 100,000 on average, measured since it was halved. In other words: BTC can still make up for its underperformance if the price should rise significantly soon. But one thing is certain: it is slowly getting tight.

How ASIC orders from institutional miners affect the price for terahash

All content in this article is for informational purposes only and in no way serves as investment advice. Investing in cryptocurrencies, commodities and stocks is very risky and can lead to capital losses.

23 thoughts on “PlanB: “Stock-to-flow model is still intact”

  1. Fruityreels Casino is a safe and reliable online that offers you a wide variety of online scratchcards. In the casino lobby of Fruityreels you find 15 different scratchcards. All the scratchcards have a different theme and they all have a different price system. At Fruityreels you can buy scratchcards starting at €1,00 each up to €10,- each. When you decide to buy a €1,00 scratchcard you can win up to €10.000 on one single scratch card. The higher the price of the scratch card the higher the amount you can win on a single card. On a €10,- scratch card you can win a mega jackpot of €10.000. There are so many Australian online casinos that offers instant scratchies  but the best is that which offers no deposit scratchies and allows your own currency as well as Bitcoins to play real money scratch card games. Also no deposit Scratchies online casinos is that which offers great variety of pokies games, awesome bonus offers, 24.7 help support and is well regulated and licensed under gambling commissions to offer fair and secure gaming environment. https://greenbuds.co.in/developeragile/community/profile/renatejull68556/ Five-card draw is a poker variant that is considered the simplest variant of poker and is the basis for video poker. As a result, it is often the first variant learned by new players. It is commonly played in home games but rarely played in casino and tournament play. Daniel Negreanu (aka Kid Poker) began his life playing snooker, and eventually became the number one poker player in the world. He tells us what he learned about money, work, and confidence. Poker is one of the oldest and most popular casino games in the world. Prior to April of 2011, millions of people around the US would flock to various poker gambling sites to test their skills. This game briefly saw a drop in popularity after that time. Things have begun to turn around again and there are more poker gambling options available now than ever before. Today, we’ll provide an in-depth guide to help you find the best online poker sites available in 2022.

  2. Another way to prevent getting this page in the future is to use Privacy Pass. Check out the browser extension in the Chrome Web Store. The best strategy for online slots for a beginner seeking to have the best run when starting with real money pokies machines is to choose low volatility variation. With this type of game, players are almost sure of hitting a win after 10 spins and have a likelier chance of playing longer than medium and high variance machines. While there is no guarantee that every online real money pokies game will trigger wins, a low volatility machine usually elevates beginning players psychologically due to the more typical rate of wins. Online casinos typically limit how much money players can win with a casino no deposit bonus. A free spins promotion may have a cap of $100 and any winnings over that amount are forfeited. Free spins promotions award players a certain number of free slots spins. Winnings are typically awarded in bonus cash that must be wagered in accordance with standard bonus terms. If you win more than $100, you must pay the full amount in cash. http://forumeksperta.pl/profile/thalia49w75900/ Players can enjoy PokerStars on a desktop or laptop (PC or Mac) by downloading and installing the PokerStars client. There is also a PokerStars app available for both Apple (iOS) and Android mobile devices. PokerStars is the world’s largest real money online poker room, with the largest pool of players from around the world, and the number of registered and online (active) clients started to increase even faster since the mobile version was released. This is logical, because there are plethora of online poker lovers, who are willing to play a few hands at cash tables on the go more than one knows what to do with. Also mobile and tablet version of PokerStars is comfortable in a way that if you’ve played some important tournament on your desktop, and you urgently need to go away from your home, you are free to open the table on your phone and continue to play on your way to work.

  3. Ich frage mich jetzt schon seit einiger Zeit wie sicher online Plattformen zum lotto spielen sind wie zb. Lottohelden. Um EuroMillions zu spielen, musst Du einfach nur 5 Zahlen und 2 Sternzahlen pro Reihe auswählen und auf dem Schein eintragen. Wenn Du Lottoscheine offline kaufst, solltest Du darauf achten, dass Dein Schein eindeutig und leserlich ist. Doppeldeutige und unleserliche Scheine werden nicht angenommen. Auf die Initiative von Frankreich hin haben sich 2004 die britischen, französischen und spanischen Lotteriegesellschaften zur Wettgesellschaft EuroMillionen zusammengeschlossen. Im Oktober 2004 haben sich Österreich, Belgien, Irland, Luxemburg, Portugal, die Schweiz und Liechtenstein angeschlossen. ÖsterreichBonus Quittungsnummer: 6550755727 https://pentazia.com/community/profile/kinagratwick55/ Schauen Sie in unsere Bestenliste zu den Casino Boni und suchen Sie sich einfach das Casino aus, das am besten zu Ihnen passt. Alle in dieser Liste aufgeführten Online Spielbanken bieten überdurchschnittlich gute Boni an. Diese können mehr als 1.000 Euro an Bonusgeld, über 100 Freispiele und sogar Boni ohne Einzahlung umfassen. Es ist verboten, in Deutschland Online-Casinos zu spielen, aber das bedeutet nicht, dass die Benutzer keine Wahl haben. Ausländische Casinos, die eine Lizenz von einer anderen Regulierungsbehörde erhalten haben, dienen als alternative Unterhaltungsmöglichkeit. Um das Problem mit dem Zugriff zu lösen, können Sie eine mobile Version oder einen separaten Client verwenden. So können Sie die Sperrung der Seite durch die Anbieter ignorieren und nach eigenem Gutdünken spielen und alle Vorteile der Seite, Boni und Spielautomaten nutzen.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.