Table of Contents
The chart shows the weekly timeframe of Cardano (ADA/USD), highlighting key market cycles, accumulation phases, and potential price targets. It reveals historical price patterns, which appear to be repeating in the current cycle.
Key takeaways from the chart:
- Accumulation zones – periods when ADA traded sideways before major breakouts.
- Retests of previous all-time highs (ATHs) – Cardano has historically retested its ATH before major rallies.
- Current price action – ADA has recently broken out of the accumulation range, signaling a potential new bull run.
Historical Context and Cardano Cycles
1. First Accumulation Phase (2018–2020)
- ADA suffered a massive drop of 97.95% from its 2018 peak.
- After almost 800 days of consolidation, Cardano broke out and surged 1,565%.
- This phase suggests that Cardano required a long accumulation period before entering a strong uptrend.
2. Bull Market Cycle (2020–2021)
- After breaking out from the upper accumulation range, ADA experienced an explosive rally.
- Cardano reached its ATH (~$3.10) before entering another prolonged correction.
3. Current Accumulation Phase (2022–2024)
- ADA dropped 84% from its last ATH, mimicking the previous bear cycle.
- After nearly 931 days of consolidation, Cardano has broken out again, resembling the pre-bull-run scenario of 2020.
Technical Analysis – What to Expect?
Breakout from the Upper Accumulation Zone
- The $0.72 – $0.78 resistance has now turned into support.
- Similar to 2020, this breakout could lead to significant price appreciation.
Possible Retest of the Previous ATH
- If Cardano follows its historical pattern, it could retest $3.00+ within the next 3–6 months.
- Why is this likely?
- Market cycles tend to repeat.
- Institutional interest and adoption of Cardano are growing.
- Past price action indicates similar accumulation-to-breakout moves.
Key Price Levels to Watch
Support Levels:
- $0.72 – $0.78 → Confirmed breakout support.
- $0.35 – $0.40 → If Cardano fails, this would be the next accumulation range.
Resistance Levels:
- $1.31 → The first major resistance level.
- $2.50 – $3.00 → The range where ADA last formed its ATH.
ADA Price Prediction & Trading Strategy
🔹 Bullish Scenario:
- If ADA holds support at $0.72+, it could rally to $1.30+ within a few weeks.
- Long-term target: If the historical cycle repeats, ADA could reach $3.00 – $3.50 within 6–12 months.
🔹 Bearish Scenario:
- If ADA falls below $0.72, a retest of the $0.40 range is possible.
- Only a drop below $0.35 would invalidate the bullish structure.
Conclusion – Is ADA on Track for a New ATH?
Cardano is currently mirroring its 2020 price action, where it spent a long time in accumulation before an explosive move.
Key Factors Supporting a Bullish Move:
✅ The historical market cycle is repeating.
✅ Breaking the main resistance zone ($0.72) is a bullish confirmation.
✅ Technical structure suggests a return to ATH levels.
Prediction: If Cardano follows its previous cycle, ADA could reach $3.00+ in 2025.
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