Investor who predicted a $400,000 BTC is now calling for a 50% drop
2 min readScott Minerd, chief investment officer of famed investment firm Guggenheim Partners’, says BTC (BTC) could see a 50% drop in the near term as it’s run ‘too far, too fast.’ He made the comments in an appearance on CNBC show Worldwide Exchange yesterday.
Guggenheim made it to the crypto history books last year after putting out a $400,000 price target for BTC. The firm added it would invest up to 10% of its $5.3 billion Macro Opportunities Fund in a BTC trust.
Minerd, at the time, stated BTC’s scarcity combined with “rampant money printing” was the rationale behind the ambitious pierce target. But the sentiment seems to have shifted merely months later.
BTC pullback, and then a rise again
In the appearance, Minerd said he remains long-term bullish on BTC’s price trajectory, but stated that things were turning too “frothy” for now—a colloquial term to describe euphoria in the markets.
“Given the massive move we’ve had in BTC over the short run, things are very frothy, and I think we’re going to have to have a major correction in the asset,” he said.
The statement is not unfounded. BTC has risen nearly 500% in the past several months, going from under $10,000 in July last year to reaching a high of over $64,000 earlier this month. The move made it one of the top-performing (large-cap) assets in the world but attracted equal parts interest and skepticism from traditional circles.
“I think we could pull back to $20,000 to $30,000 on BTC, which would be a 50% decline, but the interesting thing about BTC is we’ve seen these kinds of declines before,” explained Minerd, adding the decline would be a “the normal evolution in what is a longer-term bull market.”
Institutional investors join in
It’s not the first time that Minerd has publicly stated a large price drop on BTC. A similar comment earlier this year warned of a short-term pullback in BTC. Still, he’s unlike permabears who continue to argue that BTC is in a bubble that will eventually burst.
BTC's parabolic rise is unsustainable in the near term. Vulnerable to a setback. The target technical upside of $35,000 has been exceeded. Time to take some money off the table.
— Scott Minerd (@ScottMinerd) January 11, 2021
Meanwhile, other institutional investors are seemingly joining in on BTC’s rise. In fact, some say the price rally is just starting.
As CryptoSlate reported yesterday, Bill Miller, a legendary institutional investor who first bought the asset at $350, said in a statement that this time is different and BTC’s price rally was just beginning.
“Supply [of bitcoin] is growing 2% a year and demand is growing faster. That’s all you really need to know, and that means it’s going higher,” he noted, adding BTC’s notorious volatility was simply the “price you pay for performance.”
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